Inference to the Best Explanation (IBE) represents a central method in scientific inquiry, wherein the hypothesis that best accounts for the available evidence is provisionally accepted. This approach ...

The Canadian Journal of Statistics / La Revue Canadienne de Statistique, Vol. 23, No. 4 (Dec., 1995), pp. 399-410 (12 pages) This paper presents a new Laplacian approximation to the posterior density ...

This course is available on the MPhil/PhD in International Relations and MRes/PhD in International Development. This course is available with permission as an outside option to students on other ...

Articulate the primary interpretations of probability theory and the role these interpretations play in Bayesian inference Use Bayesian inference to solve real-world statistics and data science ...

Frequentist methods, without the coherence guarantees of fully Bayesian methods, are known to yield self-contradictory inferences in certain settings. The framework introduced in this paper provides a ...

This course is available on the MSc in Comparative Politics, MSc in Development Management, MSc in Development Studies, MSc in Global Politics, MSc in Health and International Development, MSc in ...